8/31/2023 0 Comments Pense for president![]() Thomson-DeVeaux: Why is Pence in such a weak position compared with other vice presidents who ran for the White House, except for Dan Quayle, I guess? Bush, Al Gore and Biden all led their respective primary fields five or so months into the year before the primary, and all went on to become their party’s nominee. Most other vice presidents have been more competitive at this early point, if not clearly ahead: Walter Mondale, George H.W. ![]() Ron DeSantis, who is at around 20 percent.Īmong modern vice presidents, only Dan Quayle’s failed 2000 campaign was in Pence’s territory, and Quayle ended up dropping out in September of 1999. In FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average, Pence is sitting at around 5 percent, far behind Trump, who is at nearly 55 percent, and Florida Gov. We obviously have a very recent example in President Biden.īut the fact is, Pence enters the 2024 race in arguably a weaker position than any modern vice president who has sought the presidency. Of those, six won the nomination at some point and three became president. Since World War II, eight vice presidents prior to Pence have sought their party’s nomination. Geoffrey Skelley: Yeah, so traditionally, the vice presidency has been a really good pathway to becoming president, or at the very least your party’s presidential nominee. OK Geoffrey, as a former vice president, what do we make of Pence’s candidacy in the 2024 race? I spoke to FiveThirtyEight senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley to find out more about Pence and whether or not he actually has a shot at winning the GOP nomination. He served under former President Donald Trump from 2017 to 2021, but now he faces the prospect of running against his old boss in the 2024 Republican primary. Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux: Former Vice President Mike Pence just announced that he’s running for president.
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